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Horse racing is much more than an excuse for gambling. It is a love for the beauty, grace and speed of the horse. It can also be an intellectual battle of examining competing facts and trying to formulate the future from results of the past. In some ways it is an investigation, as performed by an eager detective. And in other ways it can be the thrill of a crossword puzzle, with multiple possible responses, but ultimately only one correct answer. It is a thing of beauty as much as it is a matter of commerce. I have been involved with horse racing in both practical and intellectual ways. From time spent as an apprentice jockey, to later the research of bloodlines in the multimillion dollar world of thoroughbred breeding and sales. And for the past twelve years I have provided speedrating information to the racing industry and public through my company: Speedratings (www.speedratings.com.au).

Typhoon Tracy - an equine force of nature

March 1st 2010 04:47
Typhoon Tracy was an emphatic winner on Saturday of the Group One Futurity Stakes (1600m). The Futurity Stakes is the first leg of the Asian Mile Challenge and Typhoon Tracy would seem an ideal prospect to win one of the remaining legs (and claim a substantial bonus of $US 1 million for two wins - or $US 2 million for three wins). The logic of this assumption rests on the merit of her easy defeat of Dao Dao who was narrowly beaten after a slow getaway in the Champions Mile at Sha Tin in 2009 - finishing 3rd and beaten by a nose and a nose. Given her adaptability this race (at least) would have appeared to be at her mercy.


Typhoon Tracy moving clear at 150 metres in the Futurity
Typhoon Tracy moving clear at 150 metres in the Futurity


(photo: Neil Murray) click images to enlarge


But the owners, and trainer Peter Moody, have elected for a limited campaign in Sydney to contest the Coolmore Classic - then either the Queen Of The Turf or Ryder Stakes. The Queensland Winter also loomed as a possibility - but Peter Moody believes there is unfinished business in the Melbourne Spring of 2010 that deserves first preference. There will be no overseas campaign in the short term.

Last year Typhoon Tracy was aimed at the Cox Plate before failing (marginally - her speedfigures were still excellent) in the 1800 metre Group One Underwood Stakes at Caulfield - and then being returned to shorter trips against mares where she would prove dominant, winning by 3 lengths over 1400m, then destroying the best mares in the land to win the Group One Myer Classic over 1600m by 5 lengths.


Arguably Typhoon Tracy is the best horse now racing in Australia. Her speedfigures from winning the Futurity give her the best speed performance over 1600 metres (or less) in Australia.

Typhoon Tracy in command 100m from the line in the Futurity
Typhoon Tracy in command 100m from the line in the Futurity

(photo: Neil Murray) click images to enlarge

“She's certainly a stronger and more mature horse this time around as she's continued to do each preparation.”

“I'm starting to think the way she's finishing off her mile races you'd have to give serious thought to having another crack at a Cox Plate campaign next spring.”

“Last spring I think I was a little soft on her but now knowing what she can cope with I wouldn't hesitate. If she continues the way she's going I'd like to go down the path to the Cox Plate.”
- Peter Moody, as reported to Racing and Sports.

Typhoon Tracy is currently ranked at equal 87th (on 118) in the 2009 World Thoroughbred Rankings. This has clearly been a vintage time for fillies and mares with French star Goldikova finishing last year as 2nd best horse in the world (behind the now retired Sea The Stars) and Champion Female - and with the US champions Zenyatta and Rachel Alexandra rated (respectively) 4th and 6th best in the world - it is only a matter of time before Typhoon Tracy is yet another female knocking on the door of the top ten horses in the world.

Apart from the premature retirement of (the incomparable) Zarkava as a 3 year old, the racing public usually gets to know and love the mares as they return season after season to entertain before a none too hasty retirement. The sad fact is that if Typhoon Tracy were indeed Typhoon Tim we would probably already be denied her exciting racetrack performances.

Typhoon Tracy does appear to be very well named. She is indeed a force of nature.

Typhoon Tracy returning after the Futurity
Typhoon Tracy returning after the Futurity


(photo: Neil Murray)
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